Aaron Nola hits allowed: hit rates and game log

Aaron Nola (Philadelphia Phillies SP) has averaged 4.5 hits allowed per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 5.4 in 2026 (33 games), reaching 6+ in 2 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 5.

Games through Sep 26, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

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How often each threshold was reached

Aaron Nola: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 3+ matches an over 2.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026 season (33)2025 season (10)
3+ hits allowed5/5 (100%)10/10 (100%)20/20 (100%)33/33 (100%)9/10 (90%)
4+ hits allowed4/5 (80%)8/10 (80%)16/20 (80%)28/33 (85%)8/10 (80%)
5+ hits allowed1/5 (20%)5/10 (50%)13/20 (65%)24/33 (73%)7/10 (70%)
6+ hits allowed1/5 (20%)2/10 (20%)9/20 (45%)16/33 (48%)6/10 (60%)
7+ hits allowed0/5 (0%)0/10 (0%)4/20 (20%)7/33 (21%)3/10 (30%)
8+ hits allowed0/5 (0%)0/10 (0%)1/20 (5%)3/33 (9%)1/10 (10%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the hits allowed recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Aaron Nola: hits allowed per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighIP/g
Last 554.24365.1
Last 10104.54.5365.2
Last 20205.25385.1
2026 season335.45385.1
2025 season105.862125.1

Splits

Aaron Nola: hits allowed by split over the last 40 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian6+
Home215.4611/21 (52%)
Away195.158/19 (42%)
Team won184.655/18 (28%)
Team lost225.8614/22 (64%)
vs the top third with the most hits14555/14 (36%)
vs the bottom third65.352/6 (33%)

Game log

Aaron Nola: hits allowed in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultHits allowedIP
Sep 26, 2026vs TBL41.0
Sep 23, 2026vs MILL46.0
Sep 17, 2026@ NYMW37.0
Sep 11, 2026@ ATLL66.1
Sep 6, 2026vs ATLL47.0
Aug 31, 2026@ ARIW55.0
Aug 25, 2026@ SEAL36.0
Aug 19, 2026vs MIAW57.0
Aug 13, 2026@ MINW55.0
Aug 8, 2026vs TORL65.0
Aug 3, 2026vs WSHW66.0
Jul 28, 2026@ MIAL55.2
Jul 22, 2026vs LADL75.1
Jul 16, 2026vs NYML66.0
Jul 10, 2026@ DETL35.0
Jul 5, 2026@ KCL77.0
Jun 29, 2026vs PITL84.1
Jun 24, 2026@ WSHW35.0
Jun 18, 2026vs NYML75.0
Jun 13, 2026@ MILW64.2

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Aaron Nola, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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