Aaron Nola outs recorded: hit rates and game log

Aaron Nola (Philadelphia Phillies SP) has averaged 16.6 outs recorded per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 15.9 in 2026 (33 games), reaching 17+ in 6 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 16.5.

Games through Sep 26, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Aaron Nola: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 13+ matches an over 12.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026 season (33)2025 season (10)
13+ outs recorded4/5 (80%)9/10 (90%)19/20 (95%)31/33 (94%)8/10 (80%)
14+ outs recorded4/5 (80%)9/10 (90%)18/20 (90%)28/33 (85%)8/10 (80%)
15+ outs recorded4/5 (80%)9/10 (90%)17/20 (85%)25/33 (76%)8/10 (80%)
16+ outs recorded4/5 (80%)6/10 (60%)11/20 (55%)15/33 (45%)6/10 (60%)
17+ outs recorded4/5 (80%)6/10 (60%)10/20 (50%)14/33 (42%)5/10 (50%)
18+ outs recorded4/5 (80%)6/10 (60%)9/20 (45%)13/33 (39%)5/10 (50%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the outs recorded recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Aaron Nola: outs recorded per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighPIT/g
Last 5516.41932176.8
Last 101016.61832187.4
Last 202016.416.532189.1
2026 season3315.91532189.3
2025 season10161772487.5

Splits

Aaron Nola: outs recorded by split over the last 40 regular-season games
SplitGamesAverageMedian17+
Home2116.21610/21 (48%)
Away1916.4169/19 (47%)
Team won1816.91810/18 (56%)
Team lost2215.815.59/22 (41%)

Game log

Aaron Nola: outs recorded in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultOuts recordedPIT
Sep 26, 2026vs TBL321
Sep 23, 2026vs MILL1888
Sep 17, 2026@ NYMW2181
Sep 11, 2026@ ATLL19101
Sep 6, 2026vs ATLL2193
Aug 31, 2026@ ARIW15104
Aug 25, 2026@ SEAL1892
Aug 19, 2026vs MIAW21100
Aug 13, 2026@ MINW1597
Aug 8, 2026vs TORL1597
Aug 3, 2026vs WSHW1897
Jul 28, 2026@ MIAL1793
Jul 22, 2026vs LADL1685
Jul 16, 2026vs NYML1897
Jul 10, 2026@ DETL1584
Jul 5, 2026@ KCL2198
Jun 29, 2026vs PITL1386
Jun 24, 2026@ WSHW1586
Jun 18, 2026vs NYML1597
Jun 13, 2026@ MILW1485

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Aaron Nola, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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