Aaron Nola strikeouts: hit rates and game log

Aaron Nola (Philadelphia Phillies SP) has averaged 5.6 strikeouts per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 5.4 in 2026 (33 games), reaching 6+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 5.

Games through Sep 26, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Aaron Nola: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 2+ matches an over 1.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026 season (33)2025 season (10)
2+ strikeouts4/5 (80%)9/10 (90%)19/20 (95%)32/33 (97%)10/10 (100%)
3+ strikeouts4/5 (80%)9/10 (90%)19/20 (95%)31/33 (94%)9/10 (90%)
4+ strikeouts3/5 (60%)8/10 (80%)17/20 (85%)28/33 (85%)9/10 (90%)
5+ strikeouts2/5 (40%)6/10 (60%)13/20 (65%)22/33 (67%)6/10 (60%)
6+ strikeouts1/5 (20%)5/10 (50%)9/20 (45%)13/33 (39%)4/10 (40%)
7+ strikeouts1/5 (20%)5/10 (50%)7/20 (35%)10/33 (30%)2/10 (20%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the strikeouts recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Aaron Nola: strikeouts per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighIP/g
Last 5544085.1
Last 10105.66095.2
Last 20205.55095.1
2026 season335.45095.1
2025 season105.25295.1

Splits

Aaron Nola: strikeouts by split over the last 40 regular-season games
SplitGamesAverageMedian6+
Home215.7510/21 (48%)
Away195.257/19 (37%)
Team won185.657/18 (39%)
Team lost225.3510/22 (45%)

Game log

Aaron Nola: strikeouts in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultStrikeoutsIP
Sep 26, 2026vs TBL01.0
Sep 23, 2026vs MILL86.0
Sep 17, 2026@ NYMW47.0
Sep 11, 2026@ ATLL36.1
Sep 6, 2026vs ATLL57.0
Aug 31, 2026@ ARIW45.0
Aug 25, 2026@ SEAL76.0
Aug 19, 2026vs MIAW87.0
Aug 13, 2026@ MINW95.0
Aug 8, 2026vs TORL85.0
Aug 3, 2026vs WSHW56.0
Jul 28, 2026@ MIAL45.2
Jul 22, 2026vs LADL45.1
Jul 16, 2026vs NYML66.0
Jul 10, 2026@ DETL85.0
Jul 5, 2026@ KCL77.0
Jun 29, 2026vs PITL54.1
Jun 24, 2026@ WSHW55.0
Jun 18, 2026vs NYML65.0
Jun 13, 2026@ MILW34.2

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Aaron Nola, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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