Lionel Messi goals: hit rates and game log
Lionel Messi (Inter Miami CF F) has averaged 0.8 goals per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.8 in 2026 (25 games), reaching 1+ in 6 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (25) | 2025 season (10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ goals | 3/5 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | 11/20 (55%) | 15/25 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) |
| 2+ goals | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 4/20 (20%) | 5/25 (20%) | 4/10 (40%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the goals recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | MIN/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 0.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 90.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 93 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 0.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 88.8 |
| 2026 season | 25 | 0.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 89 |
| 2025 season | 10 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 21 | 0.8 | 1 | 11/21 (52%) |
| Away | 14 | 1.1 | 1 | 10/14 (71%) |
| Team won | 20 | 1.3 | 1 | 14/20 (70%) |
| Team lost | 6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3/6 (50%) |
| vs the top third allowing the most goals | 10 | 1.3 | 1 | 9/10 (90%) |
| vs the bottom third | 7 | 0.6 | 0 | 3/7 (43%) |
Next game
- At the Atlanta United FC on October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET.
- This season the Atlanta United FC allow 1.7 goals per match (14th most allowed of 30).
- Against the Atlanta United FC in stored games: 0 (Sep 5, 2026), 2 (Oct 11, 2025); 2 games, average 1.
Game preview · Atlanta United FC stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Goals | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | vs NYC | W | 0 | 90 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs DC | W | 2 | 90 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs SD | T | 1 | 90 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs NSH | T | 1 | 90 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | @ CHI | T | 0 | 94 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs ATL | T | 0 | 90 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | vs MTL | W | 2 | 97 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | vs TOR | L | 1 | 95 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | @ PHI | T | 1 | 104 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | @ NSH | L | 0 | 90 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | vs CLB | T | 0 | 42 |
| May 24, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 0 | 73 |
| May 17, 2026 | vs POR | W | 1 | 96 |
| May 13, 2026 | @ CIN | W | 3 | 90 |
| May 9, 2026 | @ TOR | W | 1 | 90 |
| May 2, 2026 | vs ORL | L | 1 | 90 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs NE | T | 0 | 94 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | @ RSL | W | 0 | 90 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | @ COL | W | 2 | 90 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs RBNY | T | 0 | 90 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Lionel Messi, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Lionel Messi stats and game log
- Lionel Messi in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Lionel Messi shots
- Lionel Messi shots on target
- Lionel Messi assists
- MLS goals: every player