Lionel Messi shots on target: hit rates and game log
Lionel Messi (Inter Miami CF F) has averaged 2.7 shots on target per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 2.5 in 2026 (25 games), reaching 3+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 2.5.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (25) | 2025 season (10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ shots on target | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 19/20 (95%) | 23/25 (92%) | 9/10 (90%) |
| 2+ shots on target | 4/5 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | 13/20 (65%) | 16/25 (64%) | 7/10 (70%) |
| 3+ shots on target | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 10/20 (50%) | 13/25 (52%) | 4/10 (40%) |
| 4+ shots on target | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 8/20 (40%) | 10/25 (40%) | 2/10 (20%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the shots on target recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | MIN/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 90.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 93 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 5 | 88.8 |
| 2026 season | 25 | 2.5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 89 |
| 2025 season | 10 | 2.3 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 21 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/21 (48%) |
| Away | 14 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 7/14 (50%) |
| Team won | 20 | 2.7 | 3 | 12/20 (60%) |
| Team lost | 6 | 1.5 | 2 | 0/6 (0%) |
| vs the top third allowing the most shots on target | 11 | 2.9 | 3 | 7/11 (64%) |
| vs the bottom third | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3/9 (33%) |
Next game
- At the Atlanta United FC on October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET.
- This season the Atlanta United FC allow 4.1 shots on target per match (24th most allowed of 30).
- Against the Atlanta United FC in stored games: 1 (Sep 5, 2026), 5 (Oct 11, 2025); 2 games, average 3.
Game preview · Atlanta United FC stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Shots on target | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | vs NYC | W | 1 | 90 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs DC | W | 4 | 90 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs SD | T | 5 | 90 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs NSH | T | 4 | 90 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | @ CHI | T | 4 | 94 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs ATL | T | 1 | 90 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | vs MTL | W | 4 | 97 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | vs TOR | L | 1 | 95 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | @ PHI | T | 1 | 104 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | @ NSH | L | 2 | 90 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | vs CLB | T | 1 | 42 |
| May 24, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 0 | 73 |
| May 17, 2026 | vs POR | W | 4 | 96 |
| May 13, 2026 | @ CIN | W | 4 | 90 |
| May 9, 2026 | @ TOR | W | 3 | 90 |
| May 2, 2026 | vs ORL | L | 2 | 90 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs NE | T | 3 | 94 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | @ RSL | W | 4 | 90 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | @ COL | W | 2 | 90 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs RBNY | T | 1 | 90 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Lionel Messi, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Lionel Messi stats and game log
- Lionel Messi in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Lionel Messi shots
- Lionel Messi goals
- Lionel Messi assists
- MLS shots on target: every player