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Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden: statistical comparison

Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden is scheduled at Women's Bantamweight on October 17, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, 3 rounds. Before the fight, StatsNext stored 6 UFC bouts for Chelsea Chandler (3-3) and 3 for Melissa Croden (2-1).

Scheduled · October 17, 2026 · UFC bouts before the fight · Updated October 16, 2026 at 7:09 PM ET · StatsNext fight records

How do Chelsea Chandler and Melissa Croden compare statistically?

Chelsea Chandler lands 3.51 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 4.27 (6 UFC bouts with statistics); Melissa Croden lands 4.27 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 2.13 (3 UFC bouts with statistics). Grappling: Chelsea Chandler 0.81 takedowns per 15 minutes; Melissa Croden 2.02 takedowns per 15 minutes with 66.7% takedown defense.

Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden: stored UFC bouts before Oct 17, 2026
Chelsea ChandlerMelissa Croden
StatsNext pageChelsea ChandlerMelissa Croden
Career record (published now)7-48-3
Stored UFC record before the bout3-32-1
Height5'8"5'9"
Reach68"68"
StanceSouthpawOrthodox
Born19901991
Current UFC rankingUnrankedWomen's Bantamweight #14
Significant strikes landed per minute3.514.27
Significant strikes absorbed per minute4.272.13
Significant striking accuracy45.0%47.3%
Significant striking defense40.5%59.4%
Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.270.34
Takedowns per 15 minutes0.812.02
Takedown accuracy–50.0%
Takedown defense–66.7%
Submission attempts per 15 minutes0.270.34
Control minutes per 15 minutes4.373.71
Share of fight time in control29.1%24.8%
Wins by KO/TKO / submission / decision1 / 1 / 11 / 0 / 1
Losses by KO/TKO / submission / decision1 / 0 / 20 / 0 / 1
Average bout (minutes)9.314.8
UFC bouts with statistics (minutes)6 (56)3 (45)

Rates are per minute fought over the stored bouts. Absorbed strikes and defense count only bouts where the opponent’s statistics are published. Control time is published for bouts from 2019.

What the numbers show

Striking volume

  • Chelsea Chandler lands 3.51 and absorbs 4.27 significant strikes per minute (differential -0.76; 6 bouts, 55.5 min).
  • Melissa Croden lands 4.27 and absorbs 2.13 significant strikes per minute (differential +2.14; 3 bouts, 44.5 min).

Accuracy against defense

  • Chelsea Chandler lands 45.0% of significant attempts (195 of 433); opponents have landed 40.6% against Melissa Croden (95 of 234).
  • Melissa Croden lands 47.3% of significant attempts (190 of 402); opponents have landed 59.5% against Chelsea Chandler (237 of 398).

Takedowns and control

  • Melissa Croden lands 2.02 takedowns per 15 min (6 of 12, 50.0%; 3 bouts) with 3.71 control minutes per 15. Chelsea Chandler has faced 8 takedown attempts in stored bouts (10 needed for a defense rate).

Finishing and being finished

  • Chelsea Chandler: 2 of 3 wins inside the distance (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission); finished in 1 of 3 losses (1 KO/TKO, 0 submission). Average bout 9.3 min (6 bouts).
  • Melissa Croden: 1 of 2 wins inside the distance (1 KO/TKO, 0 submission); finished in 0 of 1 loss (0 KO/TKO, 0 submission). Average bout 14.8 min (3 bouts).

Knockdowns

  • Chelsea Chandler: 1 knockdown scored in 6 bouts; knocked down 1 time in 6 bouts with the opponent's statistics; 1 KO/TKO loss.
  • Melissa Croden: 1 knockdown scored in 3 bouts; knocked down 0 times in 3 bouts with the opponent's statistics; 0 KO/TKO losses.

Height and reach

  • Reach within 2 in (68 in vs 68 in).

Recent form

  • Chelsea Chandler: W SUB, L KO/TKO, L DEC in the last 3. Last 3 bouts: 3.63 landed and 6.18 absorbed per min, against 3.51 and 4.27 over 6 stored bouts.
  • Melissa Croden: W DEC, L DEC, W KO/TKO in the last 3.

Context

  • Current UFC rankings: Melissa Croden Women's Bantamweight #14; Chelsea Chandler unranked.

Each line states its sample. Fight-level totals only: the provider publishes no round-by-round statistics. Results against takedown pressure count what happened in each bout; style labels, short-notice replacements and weigh-in misses are not published. History, not a prediction.

Chelsea Chandler: recent UFC bouts

Chelsea Chandler: the most recent stored UFC bouts before Oct 17, 2026
DateOpponent (UFC record entering)ResultMethodRound, timeMinutesWeight classSig. strikes (absorbed)TakedownsControl
Jun 6, 2026Priscila Cachoeira (5-8)WinSubmissionR1 3:423.7Women's Bantamweight11 of 25 (7)0 of 01:52
Apr 26, 2025Joselyne Edwards (5-4)LossKO/TKOR1 2:312.5Women's Bantamweight10 of 23 (30)0 of 00:00
Aug 10, 2024Yana Santos (4-5)LossDecisionR3 5:0015Women's Bantamweight56 of 124 (94)0 of 02:41
Mar 16, 2024Josiane Nunes (3-0)WinDecisionR3 5:0015Women's Bantamweight58 of 130 (47)2 of 27:02
Jul 15, 2023Norma Dumont (5-2)LossDecisionR3 5:0015Women's Featherweight22 of 61 (47)1 of 32:30

Melissa Croden: recent UFC bouts

Melissa Croden: the most recent stored UFC bouts before Oct 17, 2026
DateOpponent (UFC record entering)ResultMethodRound, timeMinutesWeight classSig. strikes (absorbed)TakedownsControl
Apr 18, 2026Daria Zhelezniakova (2-1)WinDecisionR3 5:0015Women's Bantamweight69 of 153 (41)4 of 85:12
Dec 14, 2025Luana Santos (4-1)LossDecisionR3 5:0015Women's Bantamweight22 of 74 (12)0 of 10:44
Oct 18, 2025Tainara Lisboa (2-1)WinKO/TKOR3 4:3214.5Women's Bantamweight99 of 175 (42)2 of 35:05

About this comparison

  • Built from each fighter's stored UFC bouts before October 17, 2026; UFC bouts are stored from 1993 and statistics for most bouts from 2015. Control time counts bouts from 2019, when it is published.
  • Opponent records entering a bout count the opponent's stored UFC bouts before that date.
  • Bouts are listed as announced; cards change until fight night.

This page shows results and statistics only. It contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines. Current markets and StatsNext research are in the app.

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