Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano: statistical comparison
Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano is scheduled at Lightweight on October 31, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, 5 rounds. Before the fight, StatsNext stored 6 UFC bouts for Tom Nolan (5-1) and 20 for Renato Moicano (13-7).
How do Tom Nolan and Renato Moicano compare statistically?
Tom Nolan lands 4.42 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 3.73 (5 UFC bouts with statistics); Renato Moicano lands 4.03 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 3.54 (19 UFC bouts with statistics). Grappling: Tom Nolan 1.20 takedowns per 15 minutes with 54.5% takedown defense; Renato Moicano 1.67 takedowns per 15 minutes with 64.3% takedown defense.
| Tom Nolan | Renato Moicano | |
|---|---|---|
| StatsNext page | Tom Nolan | Renato Moicano |
| Career record (published now) | 11-1 | 21-7-1 |
| Stored UFC record before the bout | 5-1 | 13-7 |
| Height | 6'3" | 5'11" |
| Reach | 73" | 72" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Born | 2000 | 1989 |
| Current UFC ranking | Lightweight #14 | Lightweight #12 |
| Significant strikes landed per minute | 4.42 | 4.03 |
| Significant strikes absorbed per minute | 3.73 | 3.54 |
| Significant striking accuracy | 44.6% | 49.7% |
| Significant striking defense | 49.7% | 60.1% |
| Knockdowns per 15 minutes | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Takedowns per 15 minutes | 1.20 | 1.67 |
| Takedown accuracy | 26.7% | 40.0% |
| Takedown defense | 54.5% | 64.3% |
| Submission attempts per 15 minutes | 1.49 | 0.50 |
| Control minutes per 15 minutes | 2.91 | 3.83 |
| Share of fight time in control | 19.4% | 25.5% |
| Wins by KO/TKO / submission / decision | 1 / 1 / 3 | 2 / 7 / 4 |
| Losses by KO/TKO / submission / decision | 1 / 0 / 0 | 3 / 2 / 2 |
| Average bout (minutes) | 10 | 9.4 |
| UFC bouts with statistics (minutes) | 5 (50) | 19 (180) |
Rates are per minute fought over the stored bouts. Absorbed strikes and defense count only bouts where the opponent’s statistics are published. Control time is published for bouts from 2019.
What the numbers show
Striking volume
- Tom Nolan lands 4.42 and absorbs 3.73 significant strikes per minute (differential +0.69; 5 bouts, 50.2 min).
- Renato Moicano lands 4.03 and absorbs 3.54 significant strikes per minute (differential +0.49; 19 bouts, 179.6 min).
Accuracy against defense
- Tom Nolan lands 44.6% of significant attempts (222 of 498); opponents have landed 39.9% against Renato Moicano (635 of 1593).
- Renato Moicano lands 49.7% of significant attempts (723 of 1456); opponents have landed 50.3% against Tom Nolan (187 of 372).
Takedowns and control
- Tom Nolan lands 1.20 takedowns per 15 min (4 of 15, 26.7%; 5 bouts) with 2.91 control minutes per 15. Renato Moicano has stopped 64.3% of 42 takedown attempts.
- Renato Moicano lands 1.67 takedowns per 15 min (20 of 50, 40.0%; 19 bouts) with 3.83 control minutes per 15. Tom Nolan has stopped 54.5% of 11 takedown attempts.
Submission threat
- Tom Nolan: 1 submission win in 5 stored wins, 1.49 submission attempts per 15 min (5 bouts). Renato Moicano: 2 submission losses in 7 stored losses; faced 2 submission attempts in 19 bouts with statistics.
- Renato Moicano: 7 submission wins in 13 stored wins, 0.50 submission attempts per 15 min (19 bouts). Tom Nolan: 0 submission losses in 1 stored loss; faced 2 submission attempts in 5 bouts with statistics.
Finishing and being finished
- Tom Nolan: 2 of 5 wins inside the distance (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission); finished in 1 of 1 loss (1 KO/TKO, 0 submission). Average bout 10 min (5 bouts).
- Renato Moicano: 9 of 13 wins inside the distance (2 KO/TKO, 7 submission); finished in 5 of 7 losses (3 KO/TKO, 2 submission). Average bout 9.4 min (20 bouts).
Knockdowns
- Tom Nolan: 0 knockdowns scored in 5 bouts; knocked down 1 time in 5 bouts with the opponent's statistics; 1 KO/TKO loss.
- Renato Moicano: 2 knockdowns scored in 19 bouts; knocked down 4 times in 19 bouts with the opponent's statistics; 3 KO/TKO losses.
Height and reach
- Reach within 2 in (73 in vs 72 in).
- Tom Nolan is 4 in taller.
Recent form
- Tom Nolan: W DEC, W SUB, W DEC in the last 3.
- Renato Moicano: W SUB, L DEC, L SUB in the last 3. Last 3 bouts: 2.23 landed and 3.26 absorbed per min, against 4.03 and 3.54 over 19 stored bouts.
Context
- Current UFC rankings: Tom Nolan Lightweight #14; Renato Moicano Lightweight #12.
- Tom Nolan: no stored 5-round bout.
- Renato Moicano: 4 stored 5-round bouts, 1 went past round 3.
Each line states its sample. Fight-level totals only: the provider publishes no round-by-round statistics. Results against takedown pressure count what happened in each bout; style labels, short-notice replacements and weigh-in misses are not published. History, not a prediction.
Tom Nolan: recent UFC bouts
| Date | Opponent (UFC record entering) | Result | Method | Round, time | Minutes | Weight class | Sig. strikes (absorbed) | Takedowns | Control |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Farés Ziam (8-2) | Win | Decision | R3 5:00 | 15 | Lightweight | 31 of 66 (16) | 2 of 6 | 6:47 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Charlie Campbell (1-0) | Win | Submission | R1 4:08 | 4.1 | Lightweight | 26 of 61 (15) | 1 of 1 | 0:34 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Viacheslav Borshchev (3-3-1) | Win | Decision | R3 5:00 | 15 | Lightweight | 69 of 175 (66) | 1 of 8 | 2:01 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Alex Reyes (0-1) | Win | Decision | R3 5:00 | 15 | Lightweight | 84 of 176 (69) | 0 of 0 | 0:22 |
| May 18, 2024 | Victor Martinez (0-1) | Win | KO/TKO | R1 | 33 of 64 (18) | 0 of 0 |
Renato Moicano: recent UFC bouts
| Date | Opponent (UFC record entering) | Result | Method | Round, time | Minutes | Weight class | Sig. strikes (absorbed) | Takedowns | Control |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Chris Duncan (6-1) | Win | Submission | R2 3:14 | 8.2 | Lightweight | 21 of 36 (27) | 1 of 4 | 3:16 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Beneil Dariush (16-6-1) | Loss | Decision | R3 5:00 | 15 | Lightweight | 31 of 61 (56) | 0 of 3 | 1:20 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Islam Makhachev (15-1) | Loss | Submission | R1 4:05 | 4.1 | Lightweight (title) | 9 of 27 (6) | 0 of 0 | 0:00 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Benoît Saint Denis (5-2) | Win | KO/TKO | R2 5:00 | 10 | Lightweight | 50 of 72 (25) | 1 of 3 | 4:53 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Jalin Turner (7-4) | Win | KO/TKO | R2 4:11 | 9.2 | Lightweight | 36 of 67 (16) | 2 of 6 | 5:50 |
About this comparison
- Built from each fighter's stored UFC bouts before October 31, 2026; UFC bouts are stored from 1993 and statistics for most bouts from 2015. Control time counts bouts from 2019, when it is published.
- Opponent records entering a bout count the opponent's stored UFC bouts before that date.
- Bouts are listed as announced; cards change until fight night.
This page shows results and statistics only. It contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines. Current markets and StatsNext research are in the app.
Keep researching
- Tom Nolan · Renato Moicano
- UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
- Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano in StatsNext: Fight Research with what matters in the fight and the fight market
- UFC striking statistics · UFC grappling statistics