Jaden McDaniels points: hit rates and game log
Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves F) has averaged 15.5 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 14.8 in 2025-26 (73 games), reaching 15+ in 8 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 16.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2025-26 season (73) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ points | 5/5 (100%) | 9/10 (90%) | 15/20 (75%) | 57/73 (78%) |
| 12+ points | 5/5 (100%) | 8/10 (80%) | 14/20 (70%) | 53/73 (73%) |
| 15+ points | 5/5 (100%) | 8/10 (80%) | 13/20 (65%) | 40/73 (55%) |
| 18+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 3/10 (30%) | 7/20 (35%) | 25/73 (34%) |
| 20+ points | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 4/20 (20%) | 17/73 (23%) |
| 22+ points | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 2/20 (10%) | 10/73 (14%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | MIN/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 18.8 | 18 | 16 | 25 | 32.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.5 | 16 | 2 | 25 | 30.3 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 14.8 | 16 | 2 | 29 | 30.7 |
| 2025-26 season | 73 | 14.8 | 15 | 0 | 30 | 31.7 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 15+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20 | 14.3 | 16 | 12/20 (60%) |
| Away | 20 | 16.1 | 16.5 | 13/20 (65%) |
| Team won | 24 | 17 | 17 | 17/24 (71%) |
| Team lost | 16 | 12.4 | 13.5 | 8/16 (50%) |
| vs the top third allowing the most points | 28 | 15.4 | 16 | 17/28 (61%) |
| vs the bottom third | 23 | 13.7 | 13 | 9/23 (39%) |
Next game
- At the Miami Heat on October 21, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET.
- This season the Miami Heat allow 118.6 points per game (9th most allowed of 30).
- Against the Miami Heat in stored games: 19 (Jan 6, 2026), 5 (Jan 3, 2026); 2 games, average 12.
Game preview · Miami Heat stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | @ HOU | W | 16 | 35 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | @ ORL | L | 18 | 19 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | vs HOU | W | 25 | 37 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | @ BOS | W | 19 | 33 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | vs POR | L | 16 | 40 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | vs UTA | W | 17 | 26 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | vs PHX | W | 16 | 37 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | @ OKC | L | 2 | 16 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | @ GSW | W | 15 | 29 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | @ LAC | L | 11 | 31 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | @ LAL | L | 6 | 26 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vs ORL | L | 3 | 29 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vs TOR | W | 8 | 21 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | vs MEM | W | 16 | 32 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | @ DEN | W | 20 | 33 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @ LAC | W | 12 | 32 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | @ POR | W | 29 | 37 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | vs PHI | L | 19 | 34 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | vs DAL | W | 7 | 34 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | vs POR | W | 21 | 33 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Jaden McDaniels, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Jaden McDaniels stats and game log
- Jaden McDaniels in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Jaden McDaniels points + rebounds + assists
- NBA points: every player