LaMelo Ball points: hit rates and game log
LaMelo Ball (Minnesota Timberwolves G) has averaged 23.6 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 20.2 in 2025-26 (74 games), reaching 22+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 21.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2025-26 season (74) | 2024-25 season (10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ points | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 20/20 (100%) | 67/74 (91%) | 10/10 (100%) |
| 15+ points | 5/5 (100%) | 9/10 (90%) | 18/20 (90%) | 62/74 (84%) | 9/10 (90%) |
| 18+ points | 5/5 (100%) | 8/10 (80%) | 16/20 (80%) | 46/74 (62%) | 7/10 (70%) |
| 20+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 13/20 (65%) | 37/74 (50%) | 6/10 (60%) |
| 22+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 10/20 (50%) | 26/74 (35%) | 6/10 (60%) |
| 25+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 7/20 (35%) | 17/74 (23%) | 6/10 (60%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | MIN/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 19 | 36 | 32.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 23.6 | 21 | 14 | 36 | 30.3 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 14 | 36 | 29.4 |
| 2025-26 season | 74 | 20.2 | 19.5 | 2 | 38 | 28.1 |
| 2024-25 season | 10 | 21.7 | 25 | 13 | 28 | 31 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 22+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22 | 20.2 | 20 | 7/22 (32%) |
| Away | 18 | 21.9 | 19.5 | 7/18 (39%) |
| Team won | 29 | 20.9 | 20 | 10/29 (34%) |
| Team lost | 11 | 21.3 | 20 | 4/11 (36%) |
| vs the top third allowing the most points | 24 | 22.5 | 20 | 10/24 (42%) |
| vs the bottom third | 23 | 18.9 | 18 | 6/23 (26%) |
Next game
- At the Miami Heat on October 21, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET.
- This season the Miami Heat allow 118.6 points per game (9th most allowed of 30).
- Against the Miami Heat in stored games: 30 (Apr 14, 2026), 30 (Mar 17, 2026), 21 (Mar 6, 2026), 20 (Oct 28, 2025), 18 (Mar 23, 2025), 15 (Mar 10, 2025); 6 games, average 22.3.
Game preview · Miami Heat stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | @ ORL | L | 23 | 25 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | vs MIA | W | 30 | 40 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | @ NYK | W | 19 | 29 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | vs DET | L | 27 | 33 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | @ BOS | L | 36 | 37 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | @ MIN | W | 35 | 31 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | vs IND | W | 18 | 30 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | vs PHX | W | 15 | 25 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | @ BKN | W | 14 | 27 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | vs BOS | L | 19 | 26 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs PHI | L | 20 | 37 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | vs NYK | W | 22 | 36 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | vs SAC | W | 20 | 23 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs MEM | W | 29 | 29 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | vs ORL | W | 20 | 20 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | vs MIA | W | 30 | 33 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | @ SAS | L | 17 | 22 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | @ SAC | W | 30 | 31 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | @ POR | W | 14 | 22 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | @ PHX | L | 22 | 33 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for LaMelo Ball, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- LaMelo Ball stats and game log
- LaMelo Ball in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- LaMelo Ball assists
- LaMelo Ball threes made
- LaMelo Ball points + rebounds + assists
- NBA points: every player