Josh Downs receptions: hit rates and game log
Josh Downs (Indianapolis Colts WR) has averaged 3.8 receptions per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 4 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 4+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 3.5.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (16) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ receptions | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 19/20 (95%) | 5/5 (100%) | 15/16 (94%) |
| 3+ receptions | 4/5 (80%) | 8/10 (80%) | 14/20 (70%) | 4/5 (80%) | 10/16 (63%) |
| 4+ receptions | 2/5 (40%) | 5/10 (50%) | 10/20 (50%) | 2/5 (40%) | 8/16 (50%) |
| 5+ receptions | 2/5 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | 7/20 (35%) | 2/5 (40%) | 5/16 (31%) |
| 6+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 5/20 (25%) | 1/5 (20%) | 4/16 (25%) |
| 7+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 1/20 (5%) | 1/5 (20%) | 0/16 (0%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the receptions recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TGT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 2 | 7 | 6.2 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6.8 |
| 2025 season | 16 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 1 | 6 | 5.5 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11 | 3.6 | 3 | 5/11 (45%) |
| Away | 10 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 5/10 (50%) |
| Team won | 9 | 3.8 | 3 | 4/9 (44%) |
| Team lost | 12 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 6/12 (50%) |
Next game
- Home against the Tennessee Titans on October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against wide receivers this season the Tennessee Titans allow 13.4 receptions per game (8th most allowed of 32; league average 11.5; 5 games).
- This season the Tennessee Titans allow 217.8 passing yards per game (19th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Tennessee Titans in stored games: 3 (Oct 26, 2025), 2 (Sep 21, 2025); 2 games, average 2.5.
Game preview · Tennessee Titans stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions | TGT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ PIT | L | 3 | 6 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ WSH | W | 3 | 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs HOU | W | 5 | 11 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ KC | L | 7 | 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs BAL | L | 2 | 4 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @ HOU | L | 4 | 4 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | vs JAX | L | 2 | 5 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | vs SF | L | 5 | 9 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ SEA | L | 3 | 5 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ JAX | L | 4 | 5 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs HOU | L | 2 | 6 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ KC | L | 2 | 6 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs ATL | W | 1 | 2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ PIT | L | 6 | 9 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs TEN | W | 3 | 3 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs ARI | W | 6 | 7 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | vs LV | W | 6 | 8 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ LAR | L | 4 | 5 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @ TEN | W | 2 | 3 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vs DEN | W | 6 | 8 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Josh Downs, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Josh Downs stats and game log
- Josh Downs in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Josh Downs receiving yards
- NFL receptions: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games
