Justin Jefferson receiving yards: hit rates and game log
Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings WR) has averaged 51.1 receiving yards per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 64.5 in 2026 (4 games), reaching 60+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 67.5.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (4) | 2025 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40+ receiving yards | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 14/20 (70%) | 3/4 (75%) | 12/17 (71%) |
| 50+ receiving yards | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 12/20 (60%) | 3/4 (75%) | 9/17 (53%) |
| 60+ receiving yards | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 11/20 (55%) | 2/4 (50%) | 9/17 (53%) |
| 70+ receiving yards | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 10/20 (50%) | 2/4 (50%) | 8/17 (47%) |
| 80+ receiving yards | 2/5 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | 6/20 (30%) | 1/4 (25%) | 5/17 (29%) |
| 90+ receiving yards | 2/5 (40%) | 2/10 (20%) | 4/20 (20%) | 1/4 (25%) | 3/17 (18%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the receiving yards recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | REC/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 71.8 | 79 | 32 | 101 | 5.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 51.1 | 43.5 | 4 | 101 | 4.3 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 63.1 | 67.5 | 4 | 126 | 5 |
| 2026 season | 4 | 64.5 | 67 | 32 | 92 | 4.8 |
| 2025 season | 17 | 61.6 | 61 | 4 | 126 | 4.9 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 60+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9 | 63 | 75 | 6/9 (67%) |
| Away | 12 | 61.6 | 51.5 | 5/12 (42%) |
| Team won | 13 | 61.2 | 55 | 6/13 (46%) |
| Team lost | 8 | 63.8 | 67.5 | 5/8 (63%) |
Next game
- Home against the Indianapolis Colts on October 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against wide receivers this season the Indianapolis Colts allow 159.6 receiving yards per game (14th most allowed of 32; league average 150.3; 5 games).
- This season the Indianapolis Colts allow 254 passing yards per game (5th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Indianapolis Colts.
Game preview · Indianapolis Colts stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving yards | REC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | W | 79 | 6 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | W | 32 | 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 55 | 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | W | 92 | 8 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs GB | W | 101 | 8 |
| Dec 25, 2025 | vs DET | W | 30 | 4 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ NYG | W | 85 | 6 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ DAL | W | 22 | 2 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs WSH | W | 11 | 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ SEA | L | 4 | 2 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ GB | L | 48 | 4 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs CHI | L | 61 | 5 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs BAL | L | 37 | 4 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ DET | W | 47 | 6 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | @ LAC | L | 74 | 7 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs PHI | L | 79 | 5 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | @ CLE | W | 123 | 7 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ PIT | L | 126 | 10 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs CIN | W | 75 | 5 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vs ATL | L | 81 | 3 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Justin Jefferson, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Justin Jefferson stats and game log
- Justin Jefferson in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Justin Jefferson receptions
- NFL receiving yards: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games