Justin Jefferson receptions: hit rates and game log
Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings WR) has averaged 4.3 receptions per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 4.8 in 2026 (4 games), reaching 5+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 5.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (4) | 2025 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3+ receptions | 4/5 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | 16/20 (80%) | 3/4 (75%) | 14/17 (82%) |
| 4+ receptions | 3/5 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | 14/20 (70%) | 2/4 (50%) | 13/17 (76%) |
| 5+ receptions | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 11/20 (55%) | 2/4 (50%) | 9/17 (53%) |
| 6+ receptions | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 8/20 (40%) | 2/4 (50%) | 6/17 (35%) |
| 7+ receptions | 2/5 (40%) | 2/10 (20%) | 5/20 (25%) | 1/4 (25%) | 4/17 (24%) |
| 8+ receptions | 2/5 (40%) | 2/10 (20%) | 3/20 (15%) | 1/4 (25%) | 2/17 (12%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the receptions recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TGT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2 | 8 | 6.6 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 7.9 |
| 2026 season | 4 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 2 | 8 | 6 |
| 2025 season | 17 | 4.9 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8.3 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9 | 4.9 | 5 | 5/9 (56%) |
| Away | 12 | 4.9 | 5 | 6/12 (50%) |
| Team won | 13 | 4.8 | 5 | 7/13 (54%) |
| Team lost | 8 | 5 | 4.5 | 4/8 (50%) |
Next game
- Home against the Indianapolis Colts on October 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against wide receivers this season the Indianapolis Colts allow 10.6 receptions per game (13th fewest allowed of 32; league average 11.5; 5 games).
- This season the Indianapolis Colts allow 254 passing yards per game (5th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Indianapolis Colts.
Game preview · Indianapolis Colts stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions | TGT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | W | 6 | 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | W | 2 | 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 3 | 6 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | W | 8 | 9 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs GB | W | 8 | 11 |
| Dec 25, 2025 | vs DET | W | 4 | 5 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ NYG | W | 6 | 8 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ DAL | W | 2 | 8 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs WSH | W | 2 | 4 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ SEA | L | 2 | 6 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ GB | L | 4 | 6 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs CHI | L | 5 | 9 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs BAL | L | 4 | 12 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ DET | W | 6 | 9 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | @ LAC | L | 7 | 11 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs PHI | L | 5 | 10 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | @ CLE | W | 7 | 11 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ PIT | L | 10 | 11 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs CIN | W | 5 | 7 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vs ATL | L | 3 | 6 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Justin Jefferson, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Justin Jefferson stats and game log
- Justin Jefferson in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Justin Jefferson receiving yards
- NFL receptions: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games