John Carlson goals: hit rates and game log
John Carlson (Tampa Bay Lightning D) has averaged 0.2 goals per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.3 in 2026-27 (7 games), reaching 1+ in 1 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 0.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026-27 season (7) | 2025-26 season (18) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ goals | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 3/20 (15%) | 1/7 (14%) | 2/18 (11%) |
| 2+ goals | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 2/20 (10%) | 1/7 (14%) | 1/18 (6%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the goals recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TOI/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:23 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:59 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:58 |
| 2026-27 season | 7 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 |
| 2025-26 season | 18 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:21 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13 | 0.5 | 0 | 3/13 (23%) |
| Away | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0/12 (0%) |
| Team won | 13 | 0.4 | 0 | 2/13 (15%) |
| Team lost | 12 | 0.1 | 0 | 1/12 (8%) |
Next game
- Home against the Seattle Kraken on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- This season the Seattle Kraken allow 2.7 goals per game (22nd most allowed of 32).
- Against the Seattle Kraken in stored games: 0 (Oct 15, 2026); 1 game, average 0.
Seattle Kraken stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Goals | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | vs SEA | W | 0 | 21:35 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ NYR | L | 0 | 19:56 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ NYI | W | 0 | 20:43 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | vs MIN | W | 2 | 16:48 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 0 | 17:51 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs WSH | W | 0 | 20:35 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ NYR | L | 0 | 23:41 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | @ NSH | W | 0 | 20:24 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | @ MIN | L | 0 | 21:43 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs VAN | L | 0 | 26:31 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | vs SJS | W | 3 | 20:16 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | vs NSH | L | 0 | 25:04 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs CGY | L | 0 | 23:52 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | vs STL | L | 0 | 21:57 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | @ SJS | L | 0 | 26:13 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | vs TOR | L | 1 | 27:56 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | @ EDM | L | 0 | 28:07 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ CGY | W | 0 | 26:55 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ VAN | W | 0 | 24:01 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | vs BUF | W | 0 | 25:03 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for John Carlson, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- John Carlson stats and game log
- John Carlson in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- John Carlson shots on goal
- John Carlson points
- John Carlson assists
- NHL goals: every player