John Carlson shots on goal: hit rates and game log
John Carlson (Tampa Bay Lightning D) has averaged 2.2 shots on goal per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 2.7 in 2026-27 (7 games), reaching 3+ in 3 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 2.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026-27 season (7) | 2025-26 season (18) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ shots on goal | 5/5 (100%) | 8/10 (80%) | 17/20 (85%) | 6/7 (86%) | 16/18 (89%) |
| 2+ shots on goal | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 13/20 (65%) | 3/7 (43%) | 13/18 (72%) |
| 3+ shots on goal | 2/5 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | 9/20 (45%) | 3/7 (43%) | 8/18 (44%) |
| 4+ shots on goal | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 5/20 (25%) | 2/7 (29%) | 4/18 (22%) |
| 5+ shots on goal | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 2/20 (10%) | 1/7 (14%) | 2/18 (11%) |
| 6+ shots on goal | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 2/20 (10%) | 1/7 (14%) | 1/18 (6%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the shots on goal recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TOI/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 19:23 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 20:59 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 22:58 |
| 2026-27 season | 7 | 2.7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 20:10 |
| 2025-26 season | 18 | 2.4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23:21 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13 | 2.7 | 2 | 6/13 (46%) |
| Away | 12 | 2.3 | 2 | 5/12 (42%) |
| Team won | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3/13 (23%) |
| Team lost | 12 | 3.1 | 3 | 8/12 (67%) |
Next game
- Home against the Seattle Kraken on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- This season the Seattle Kraken allow 30.4 shots on goal per game (3rd most allowed of 32).
- Against the Seattle Kraken in stored games: 1 (Oct 15, 2026); 1 game, average 1.
Seattle Kraken stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Shots on goal | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | vs SEA | W | 1 | 21:35 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ NYR | L | 3 | 19:56 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ NYI | W | 1 | 20:43 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | vs MIN | W | 9 | 16:48 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 1 | 17:51 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs WSH | W | 0 | 20:35 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ NYR | L | 4 | 23:41 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | @ NSH | W | 0 | 20:24 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | @ MIN | L | 1 | 21:43 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs VAN | L | 2 | 26:31 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | vs SJS | W | 3 | 20:16 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | vs NSH | L | 0 | 25:04 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs CGY | L | 6 | 23:52 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | vs STL | L | 3 | 21:57 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | @ SJS | L | 2 | 26:13 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | vs TOR | L | 4 | 27:56 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | @ EDM | L | 4 | 28:07 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ CGY | W | 3 | 26:55 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ VAN | W | 2 | 24:01 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | vs BUF | W | 2 | 25:03 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for John Carlson, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- John Carlson stats and game log
- John Carlson in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- John Carlson points
- John Carlson goals
- John Carlson assists
- NHL shots on goal: every player