John Carlson points: hit rates and game log

John Carlson (Tampa Bay Lightning D) has averaged 0.6 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.6 in 2026-27 (7 games), reaching 1+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 0.

Games through Oct 15, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 10:03 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

John Carlson: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 1+ matches an over 0.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026-27 season (7)2025-26 season (18)
1+ points2/5 (40%)4/10 (40%)9/20 (45%)3/7 (43%)8/18 (44%)
2+ points1/5 (20%)2/10 (20%)6/20 (30%)1/7 (14%)5/18 (28%)
3+ points0/5 (0%)0/10 (0%)2/20 (10%)0/7 (0%)2/18 (11%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

John Carlson: points per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighTOI/g
Last 550.600219:23
Last 10100.600220:59
Last 20200.800322:58
2026-27 season70.600220:10
2025-26 season180.800323:21

Splits

John Carlson: points by split over the last 25 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian1+
Home130.706/13 (46%)
Away120.805/12 (42%)
Team won131.219/13 (69%)
Team lost120.302/12 (17%)

Next game

  • Home against the Seattle Kraken on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
  • This season the Seattle Kraken allow 2.7 goals per game (22nd most allowed of 32).
  • Against the Seattle Kraken in stored games: 0 (Oct 15, 2026); 1 game, average 0.

Seattle Kraken stats and results

Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.

Game log

John Carlson: points in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultPointsTOI
Oct 15, 2026vs SEAW021:35
Oct 13, 2026@ NYRL019:56
Oct 10, 2026@ NYIW020:43
Oct 8, 2026vs MINW216:48
Oct 5, 2026vs PHIW117:51
Oct 3, 2026vs WSHW120:35
Oct 1, 2026@ NYRL023:41
Apr 16, 2026@ NSHW220:24
Apr 14, 2026@ MINL021:43
Apr 12, 2026vs VANL026:31
Apr 9, 2026vs SJSW320:16
Apr 7, 2026vs NSHL025:04
Apr 4, 2026vs CGYL023:52
Apr 3, 2026vs STLL021:57
Apr 1, 2026@ SJSL026:13
Mar 30, 2026vs TORL127:56
Mar 28, 2026@ EDML228:07
Mar 26, 2026@ CGYW226:55
Mar 24, 2026@ VANW324:01
Mar 22, 2026vs BUFW025:03

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for John Carlson, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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