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Nathan MacKinnon goals: hit rates and game log

Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche C) has averaged 0.6 goals per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.7 in 2026-27 (7 games), reaching 1+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 0.5.

Games through Oct 14, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Nathan MacKinnon: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 1+ matches an over 0.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026-27 season (7)2025-26 season (18)
1+ goals2/5 (40%)4/10 (40%)10/20 (50%)3/7 (43%)9/18 (50%)
2+ goals1/5 (20%)2/10 (20%)3/20 (15%)2/7 (29%)1/18 (6%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the goals recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Nathan MacKinnon: goals per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighTOI/g
Last 550.600221:38
Last 10100.600221:29
Last 20200.70.50221:42
2026-27 season70.700220:36
2025-26 season180.60.50222:39

Splits

Nathan MacKinnon: goals by split over the last 25 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian1+
Home120.70.56/12 (50%)
Away130.506/13 (46%)
Team won150.719/15 (60%)
Team lost100.403/10 (30%)

Next game

  • Home against the Pittsburgh Penguins on October 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET.
  • This season the Pittsburgh Penguins allow 3.1 goals per game (14th most allowed of 32).
  • Against the Pittsburgh Penguins in stored games: 1 (Mar 24, 2026), 1 (Mar 16, 2026); 2 games, average 1.

Game preview · Pittsburgh Penguins stats and results

Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.

Game log

Nathan MacKinnon: goals in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultGoalsTOI
Oct 14, 2026vs DALL025:22
Oct 13, 2026@ DALW020:01
Oct 10, 2026vs TORL223:56
Oct 8, 2026@ CGYW118:42
Oct 7, 2026@ WPGL020:11
Oct 3, 2026vs STLW018:16
Sep 30, 2026vs LAKW217:44
Apr 14, 2026@ CGYW121:08
Apr 13, 2026@ EDMW027:57
Apr 11, 2026vs VGKL021:38
Apr 9, 2026vs CGYW122:23
Apr 7, 2026@ STLW021:08
Apr 5, 2026vs STLL021:38
Apr 4, 2026@ DALW120:47
Apr 1, 2026vs VANL124:21
Mar 30, 2026vs CGYW119:20
Mar 28, 2026vs WPGL022:36
Mar 26, 2026@ WPGW224:55
Mar 24, 2026@ PITW119:03
Mar 22, 2026@ WSHW022:50

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Nathan MacKinnon, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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