Nathan MacKinnon shots on goal: hit rates and game log
Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche C) has averaged 4.1 shots on goal per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 4.1 in 2026-27 (7 games), reaching 4+ in 6 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 4.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026-27 season (7) | 2025-26 season (18) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ shots on goal | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 19/20 (95%) | 7/7 (100%) | 17/18 (94%) |
| 2+ shots on goal | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 17/20 (85%) | 6/7 (86%) | 16/18 (89%) |
| 3+ shots on goal | 2/5 (40%) | 6/10 (60%) | 12/20 (60%) | 4/7 (57%) | 12/18 (67%) |
| 4+ shots on goal | 2/5 (40%) | 6/10 (60%) | 11/20 (55%) | 4/7 (57%) | 11/18 (61%) |
| 5+ shots on goal | 1/5 (20%) | 3/10 (30%) | 8/20 (40%) | 2/7 (29%) | 7/18 (39%) |
| 6+ shots on goal | 1/5 (20%) | 3/10 (30%) | 6/20 (30%) | 2/7 (29%) | 4/18 (22%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the shots on goal recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TOI/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 21:38 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 21:29 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 21:42 |
| 2026-27 season | 7 | 4.1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 20:36 |
| 2025-26 season | 18 | 3.8 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 22:39 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 5.4 | 5 | 11/12 (92%) |
| Away | 13 | 2.5 | 2 | 4/13 (31%) |
| Team won | 15 | 3.5 | 4 | 8/15 (53%) |
| Team lost | 10 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 7/10 (70%) |
| vs the top third allowing the most shots on goal | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | 1/3 (33%) |
| vs the bottom third | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | 2/3 (67%) |
Next game
- Home against the Pittsburgh Penguins on October 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET.
- This season the Pittsburgh Penguins allow 28.3 shots on goal per game (9th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Pittsburgh Penguins in stored games: 2 (Mar 24, 2026), 4 (Mar 16, 2026); 2 games, average 3.
Game preview · Pittsburgh Penguins stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Shots on goal | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | vs DAL | L | 4 | 25:22 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ DAL | W | 2 | 20:01 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs TOR | L | 8 | 23:56 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | @ CGY | W | 2 | 18:42 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | @ WPG | L | 1 | 20:11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs STL | W | 4 | 18:16 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | vs LAK | W | 8 | 17:44 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | @ CGY | W | 4 | 21:08 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | @ EDM | W | 2 | 27:57 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs VGK | L | 6 | 21:38 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | vs CGY | W | 6 | 22:23 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | @ STL | W | 0 | 21:08 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | vs STL | L | 5 | 21:38 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | @ DAL | W | 2 | 20:47 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | vs VAN | L | 7 | 24:21 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | vs CGY | W | 5 | 19:20 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs WPG | L | 3 | 22:36 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ WPG | W | 7 | 24:55 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ PIT | W | 2 | 19:03 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | @ WSH | W | 1 | 22:50 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Nathan MacKinnon, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Nathan MacKinnon stats and game log
- Nathan MacKinnon in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Nathan MacKinnon points
- Nathan MacKinnon goals
- Nathan MacKinnon assists
- NHL shots on goal: every player