Brian Thomas Jr. receptions: hit rates and game log
Brian Thomas Jr. (Jacksonville Jaguars WR) has averaged 2.5 receptions per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1.8 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 3+ in 6 of the last 10. Median over the last 19: 3.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (14) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ receptions | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 18/19 (95%) | 4/5 (80%) | 14/14 (100%) |
| 2+ receptions | 3/5 (60%) | 8/10 (80%) | 16/19 (84%) | 3/5 (60%) | 13/14 (93%) |
| 3+ receptions | 2/5 (40%) | 6/10 (60%) | 12/19 (63%) | 2/5 (40%) | 10/14 (71%) |
| 4+ receptions | 0/5 (0%) | 2/10 (20%) | 6/19 (32%) | 0/5 (0%) | 6/14 (43%) |
| 5+ receptions | 0/5 (0%) | 0/10 (0%) | 2/19 (11%) | 0/5 (0%) | 2/14 (14%) |
| 6+ receptions | 0/5 (0%) | 0/10 (0%) | 1/19 (5%) | 0/5 (0%) | 1/14 (7%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the receptions recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TGT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4.6 |
| Last 20 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5.7 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 1.8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3.6 |
| 2025 season | 14 | 3.4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6.5 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11 | 2.9 | 3 | 7/11 (64%) |
| Away | 8 | 3.1 | 3 | 5/8 (63%) |
| Team won | 15 | 2.6 | 3 | 8/15 (53%) |
| Team lost | 4 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4/4 (100%) |
Next game
- Home against the Houston Texans on October 18, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET.
- Against wide receivers this season the Houston Texans allow 14.6 receptions per game (5th most allowed of 32; league average 11.5; 5 games).
- This season the Houston Texans allow 234 passing yards per game (10th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Houston Texans in stored games: 2 (Sep 21, 2025); 1 game, average 2.
Game preview · Houston Texans stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions | TGT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 0 | 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ CIN | W | 2 | 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs NE | W | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ DEN | L | 3 | 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs CLE | W | 3 | 3 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs TEN | W | 3 | 5 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | @ IND | W | 4 | 7 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ DEN | W | 2 | 3 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs NYJ | W | 4 | 7 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs IND | W | 3 | 6 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ TEN | W | 2 | 3 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ LV | W | 3 | 5 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs LAR | L | 3 | 7 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs SEA | L | 8 | 10 |
| Oct 6, 2025 | vs KC | W | 4 | 6 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ SF | W | 5 | 7 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs HOU | W | 2 | 6 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | @ CIN | L | 4 | 12 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | vs CAR | W | 1 | 7 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Brian Thomas Jr., with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Brian Thomas Jr. stats and game log
- Brian Thomas Jr. in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Brian Thomas Jr. receiving yards
- NFL receptions: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games