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Auston Matthews goals: hit rates and game log

Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs C) has averaged 0.7 goals per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.8 in 2026-27 (8 games), reaching 1+ in 6 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 0.

Games through Oct 15, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 10:03 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Auston Matthews: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 1+ matches an over 0.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026-27 season (8)2025-26 season (17)
1+ goals4/5 (80%)6/10 (60%)6/20 (30%)5/8 (63%)2/17 (12%)
2+ goals1/5 (20%)1/10 (10%)1/20 (5%)1/8 (13%)0/17 (0%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the goals recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Auston Matthews: goals per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighTOI/g
Last 55110222:15
Last 10100.710221:09
Last 20200.300221:07
2026-27 season80.810221:58
2025-26 season170.100120:46

Splits

Auston Matthews: goals by split over the last 25 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian1+
Home130.405/13 (38%)
Away120.302/12 (17%)
Team won70.603/7 (43%)
Team lost180.204/18 (22%)

Next game

  • Home against the Buffalo Sabres on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
  • This season the Buffalo Sabres allow 3.7 goals per game (9th most allowed of 32).
  • Against the Buffalo Sabres in stored games: 1 (Oct 15, 2026), 1 (Jan 27, 2026); 2 games, average 1.

Buffalo Sabres stats and results

Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.

Game log

Auston Matthews: goals in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultGoalsTOI
Oct 15, 2026vs BUFL122:14
Oct 13, 2026@ UTAL120:12
Oct 10, 2026@ COLW222:06
Oct 8, 2026@ VGKL021:32
Oct 6, 2026vs NSHW125:09
Oct 3, 2026vs OTTL121:50
Sep 30, 2026vs NYIW020:04
Sep 29, 2026vs MTLL022:34
Mar 12, 2026vs ANAW113:18
Mar 10, 2026@ MTLL022:28
Mar 7, 2026vs TBLL019:17
Mar 5, 2026@ NYRL020:46
Mar 4, 2026@ NJDL024:57
Mar 2, 2026vs PHIL026:06
Feb 28, 2026vs OTTL017:55
Feb 26, 2026@ FLAL018:34
Feb 25, 2026@ TBLL022:54
Feb 3, 2026@ EDMW021:11
Feb 2, 2026@ CGYW016:35
Jan 31, 2026@ VANW022:30

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Auston Matthews, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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