Auston Matthews shots on goal: hit rates and game log
Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs C) has averaged 3 shots on goal per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 3.3 in 2026-27 (8 games), reaching 4+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 2.5.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026-27 season (8) | 2025-26 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ shots on goal | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 19/20 (95%) | 8/8 (100%) | 16/17 (94%) |
| 2+ shots on goal | 4/5 (80%) | 8/10 (80%) | 17/20 (85%) | 6/8 (75%) | 16/17 (94%) |
| 3+ shots on goal | 3/5 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | 10/20 (50%) | 5/8 (63%) | 10/17 (59%) |
| 4+ shots on goal | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 9/20 (45%) | 4/8 (50%) | 8/17 (47%) |
| 5+ shots on goal | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 6/20 (30%) | 2/8 (25%) | 6/17 (35%) |
| 6+ shots on goal | 0/5 (0%) | 1/10 (10%) | 5/20 (25%) | 1/8 (13%) | 5/17 (29%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the shots on goal recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TOI/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:15 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | 6 | 21:09 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 8 | 21:07 |
| 2026-27 season | 8 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 1 | 6 | 21:58 |
| 2025-26 season | 17 | 3.8 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 20:46 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13 | 3.9 | 3 | 6/13 (46%) |
| Away | 12 | 3.3 | 3 | 6/12 (50%) |
| Team won | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3/7 (43%) |
| Team lost | 18 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 9/18 (50%) |
Next game
- Home against the Buffalo Sabres on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- This season the Buffalo Sabres allow 23.9 shots on goal per game (28th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Buffalo Sabres in stored games: 1 (Oct 15, 2026), 3 (Jan 27, 2026); 2 games, average 2.
Buffalo Sabres stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Shots on goal | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | vs BUF | L | 1 | 22:14 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ UTA | L | 4 | 20:12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ COL | W | 5 | 22:06 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | @ VGK | L | 2 | 21:32 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | vs NSH | W | 4 | 25:09 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs OTT | L | 6 | 21:50 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | vs NYI | W | 1 | 20:04 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | vs MTL | L | 3 | 22:34 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vs ANA | W | 2 | 13:18 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | @ MTL | L | 2 | 22:28 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vs TBL | L | 6 | 19:17 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | @ NYR | L | 4 | 20:46 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | @ NJD | L | 6 | 24:57 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | vs PHI | L | 8 | 26:06 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs OTT | L | 2 | 17:55 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @ FLA | L | 2 | 18:34 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | @ TBL | L | 2 | 22:54 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | @ EDM | W | 0 | 21:11 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | @ CGY | W | 2 | 16:35 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ VAN | W | 7 | 22:30 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Auston Matthews, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Auston Matthews stats and game log
- Auston Matthews in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Auston Matthews points
- Auston Matthews goals
- Auston Matthews assists
- NHL shots on goal: every player