Auston Matthews points: hit rates and game log
Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs C) has averaged 1.4 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1.6 in 2026-27 (8 games), reaching 2+ in 3 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026-27 season (8) | 2025-26 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ points | 5/5 (100%) | 7/10 (70%) | 14/20 (70%) | 6/8 (75%) | 9/17 (53%) |
| 2+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 3/10 (30%) | 3/20 (15%) | 3/8 (38%) | 1/17 (6%) |
| 3+ points | 2/5 (40%) | 2/10 (20%) | 2/20 (10%) | 2/8 (25%) | 1/17 (6%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TOI/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:09 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:07 |
| 2026-27 season | 8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:58 |
| 2025-26 season | 17 | 0.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:46 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13 | 0.8 | 0 | 2/13 (15%) |
| Away | 12 | 1.1 | 1 | 2/12 (17%) |
| Team won | 7 | 1.7 | 1 | 2/7 (29%) |
| Team lost | 18 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2/18 (11%) |
Next game
- Home against the Buffalo Sabres on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- This season the Buffalo Sabres allow 3.7 goals per game (9th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Buffalo Sabres in stored games: 1 (Oct 15, 2026), 3 (Jan 27, 2026); 2 games, average 2.
Buffalo Sabres stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | vs BUF | L | 1 | 22:14 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ UTA | L | 2 | 20:12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ COL | W | 4 | 22:06 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | @ VGK | L | 1 | 21:32 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | vs NSH | W | 4 | 25:09 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs OTT | L | 1 | 21:50 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | vs NYI | W | 0 | 20:04 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | vs MTL | L | 0 | 22:34 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vs ANA | W | 1 | 13:18 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | @ MTL | L | 0 | 22:28 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vs TBL | L | 0 | 19:17 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | @ NYR | L | 0 | 20:46 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | @ NJD | L | 1 | 24:57 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | vs PHI | L | 0 | 26:06 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs OTT | L | 1 | 17:55 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @ FLA | L | 1 | 18:34 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | @ TBL | L | 1 | 22:54 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | @ EDM | W | 1 | 21:11 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | @ CGY | W | 1 | 16:35 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ VAN | W | 1 | 22:30 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Auston Matthews, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Auston Matthews stats and game log
- Auston Matthews in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Auston Matthews shots on goal
- Auston Matthews goals
- Auston Matthews assists
- NHL points: every player