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Kirill Marchenko goals: hit rates and game log

Kirill Marchenko (Toronto Maple Leafs RW) has averaged 0.4 goals per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.5 in 2026-27 (8 games), reaching 1+ in 2 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 0.

Games through Oct 15, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 10:03 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Kirill Marchenko: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 1+ matches an over 0.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026-27 season (8)2025-26 season (17)
1+ goals1/5 (20%)2/10 (20%)4/20 (20%)2/8 (25%)3/17 (18%)
2+ goals1/5 (20%)1/10 (10%)1/20 (5%)1/8 (13%)0/17 (0%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the goals recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Kirill Marchenko: goals per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighTOI/g
Last 550.600318:49
Last 10100.400319:20
Last 20200.300319:15
2026-27 season80.500318:59
2025-26 season170.200119:34

Splits

Kirill Marchenko: goals by split over the last 25 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian1+
Home140.403/14 (21%)
Away110.202/11 (18%)
Team won100.202/10 (20%)
Team lost150.303/15 (20%)

Next game

  • Home against the Buffalo Sabres on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
  • This season the Buffalo Sabres allow 3.7 goals per game (9th most allowed of 32).
  • Against the Buffalo Sabres in stored games: 3 (Oct 15, 2026), 0 (Apr 9, 2026); 2 games, average 1.5.

Buffalo Sabres stats and results

Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.

Game log

Kirill Marchenko: goals in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultGoalsTOI
Oct 15, 2026vs BUFL318:36
Oct 13, 2026@ UTAL018:41
Oct 10, 2026@ COLW016:53
Oct 8, 2026@ VGKL018:20
Oct 6, 2026vs NSHW021:35
Oct 3, 2026vs OTTL119:26
Sep 30, 2026vs NYIW018:16
Sep 29, 2026vs MTLL020:08
Apr 14, 2026vs WSHL019:00
Apr 12, 2026vs BOSL022:28
Apr 11, 2026@ MTLW117:12
Apr 9, 2026@ BUFL021:58
Apr 7, 2026@ DETW024:49
Apr 4, 2026vs WPGL016:14
Apr 2, 2026@ CARL016:15
Mar 31, 2026vs CARL118:20
Mar 29, 2026vs BOSL022:31
Mar 28, 2026vs SJSL020:50
Mar 26, 2026@ MTLL018:47
Mar 24, 2026@ PHIW014:38

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Kirill Marchenko, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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