Kirill Marchenko shots on goal: hit rates and game log

Kirill Marchenko (Toronto Maple Leafs RW) has averaged 2.7 shots on goal per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 2.5 in 2026-27 (8 games), reaching 3+ in 7 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 3.

Games through Oct 15, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 10:03 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Kirill Marchenko: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 1+ matches an over 0.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026-27 season (8)2025-26 season (17)
1+ shots on goal4/5 (80%)9/10 (90%)18/20 (90%)7/8 (88%)16/17 (94%)
2+ shots on goal4/5 (80%)9/10 (90%)15/20 (75%)7/8 (88%)11/17 (65%)
3+ shots on goal3/5 (60%)7/10 (70%)11/20 (55%)5/8 (63%)9/17 (53%)
4+ shots on goal0/5 (0%)2/10 (20%)5/20 (25%)1/8 (13%)5/17 (29%)
5+ shots on goal0/5 (0%)0/10 (0%)1/20 (5%)0/8 (0%)2/17 (12%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the shots on goal recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Kirill Marchenko: shots on goal per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighTOI/g
Last 552.230318:49
Last 10102.730419:20
Last 20202.530519:15
2026-27 season82.530418:59
2025-26 season172.530519:34

Splits

Kirill Marchenko: shots on goal by split over the last 25 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian3+
Home142.639/14 (64%)
Away112.425/11 (45%)
Team won102.436/10 (60%)
Team lost152.638/15 (53%)

Next game

  • Home against the Buffalo Sabres on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
  • This season the Buffalo Sabres allow 23.9 shots on goal per game (28th most allowed of 32).
  • Against the Buffalo Sabres in stored games: 3 (Oct 15, 2026), 2 (Apr 9, 2026); 2 games, average 2.5.

Buffalo Sabres stats and results

Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.

Game log

Kirill Marchenko: shots on goal in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultShots on goalTOI
Oct 15, 2026vs BUFL318:36
Oct 13, 2026@ UTAL218:41
Oct 10, 2026@ COLW016:53
Oct 8, 2026@ VGKL318:20
Oct 6, 2026vs NSHW321:35
Oct 3, 2026vs OTTL219:26
Sep 30, 2026vs NYIW318:16
Sep 29, 2026vs MTLL420:08
Apr 14, 2026vs WSHL419:00
Apr 12, 2026vs BOSL322:28
Apr 11, 2026@ MTLW417:12
Apr 9, 2026@ BUFL221:58
Apr 7, 2026@ DETW324:49
Apr 4, 2026vs WPGL016:14
Apr 2, 2026@ CARL116:15
Mar 31, 2026vs CARL518:20
Mar 29, 2026vs BOSL122:31
Mar 28, 2026vs SJSL420:50
Mar 26, 2026@ MTLL218:47
Mar 24, 2026@ PHIW114:38

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Kirill Marchenko, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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