Kirill Marchenko points: hit rates and game log
Kirill Marchenko (Toronto Maple Leafs RW) has averaged 0.9 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1.1 in 2026-27 (8 games), reaching 1+ in 7 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026-27 season (8) | 2025-26 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ points | 5/5 (100%) | 7/10 (70%) | 13/20 (65%) | 7/8 (88%) | 8/17 (47%) |
| 2+ points | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 4/20 (20%) | 1/8 (13%) | 3/17 (18%) |
| 3+ points | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 1/20 (5%) | 1/8 (13%) | 0/17 (0%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TOI/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18:49 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:20 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 0.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:15 |
| 2026-27 season | 8 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:59 |
| 2025-26 season | 17 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:34 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14 | 0.9 | 1 | 8/14 (57%) |
| Away | 11 | 0.7 | 1 | 7/11 (64%) |
| Team won | 10 | 0.8 | 1 | 7/10 (70%) |
| Team lost | 15 | 0.8 | 1 | 8/15 (53%) |
Next game
- Home against the Buffalo Sabres on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- This season the Buffalo Sabres allow 3.7 goals per game (9th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Buffalo Sabres in stored games: 3 (Oct 15, 2026), 0 (Apr 9, 2026); 2 games, average 1.5.
Buffalo Sabres stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | vs BUF | L | 3 | 18:36 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ UTA | L | 1 | 18:41 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ COL | W | 1 | 16:53 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | @ VGK | L | 1 | 18:20 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | vs NSH | W | 1 | 21:35 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs OTT | L | 1 | 19:26 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | vs NYI | W | 0 | 18:16 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | vs MTL | L | 1 | 20:08 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | vs WSH | L | 0 | 19:00 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs BOS | L | 0 | 22:28 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | @ MTL | W | 2 | 17:12 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | @ BUF | L | 0 | 21:58 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | @ DET | W | 1 | 24:49 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs WPG | L | 1 | 16:14 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | @ CAR | L | 0 | 16:15 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | vs CAR | L | 2 | 18:20 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | vs BOS | L | 2 | 22:31 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs SJS | L | 0 | 20:50 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ MTL | L | 0 | 18:47 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ PHI | W | 1 | 14:38 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Kirill Marchenko, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Kirill Marchenko stats and game log
- Kirill Marchenko in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Kirill Marchenko shots on goal
- Kirill Marchenko goals
- Kirill Marchenko assists
- NHL points: every player
